Extend and Pretend Is a Strategy, Not a Stall
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“Extend and pretend isn’t about avoiding reality, it’s about managing risk before reality forces your hand.”
Extend and pretend has become shorthand for denial, as if lenders are simply kicking the can and hoping the market bails everyone out.
That’s not necessarily what’s happening.
In a stressed real estate environment, extend and pretend is a control mechanism. It allows lenders to manage distressed loans without forcing outcomes that destroy value on both sides of the balance sheet.
Foreclosure is costly, time-consuming, and often unnecessary when other enforcement tools already exist.
Today’s mortgage market stress isn’t driven by missed payments alone.
Rising cap rates are compressing values.
Refinancing options are limited.
And covenant breaches (not payment defaults) are increasingly the first warning signal.
Debt service coverage ratios, cash-management triggers, and maturity timelines are doing more to shape outcomes than delinquency notices.
Lenders still hold leverage. They can enforce covenants, restrict cash flow, require reserves, or restructure terms — all without taking title to the asset.
Extend and pretend becomes a way to preserve optionality while forcing borrowers to re-engage, recapitalize, or realign expectations.
The real risk emerges when communication breaks down.
Silence creates assumptions.
Assumptions create defaults.
And defaults accelerate outcomes nobody actually wants.
What we’re seeing now is not a repeat of 2008, but it is a test.
Lenders and borrowers who navigate this period best will be the ones who understand that extend and pretend isn’t passive. It’s intentional.
If you want the deeper breakdown of how these strategies are being applied right now, the full conversation is available in this episode of Debt Doctor.
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As always, I’d love to hear your thoughts, feedback, or questions about this topic, episode or the industry.
Feel free to reach out directly to podcast@billbymel.com if there’s a specific topic you’d like me to cover in upcoming episodes.
Catch you in the next episode,
– Bill Bymel, Debt Doctor
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First Lien Capital is your trusted investment partner delivering security and strong returns while making real impact, and First Lien Resolutions is your Special Assets Group for hire delivering integrated resolutions to protect capital and restore performance to distressed real estate debt scenarios.
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Welcome
Bill Bymel
Distressed real estate investor and advisor. Founder and CEO of First Lien Capital LP, a privately owned distressed mortgage investment platform focused on the acquisition and timely resolution of sub-performing and non-performing mortgage loans.
Speaker, host of Debt Doctor and Real Estate Lowdown podcasts, and author of Win-Win Revolution: An Insider’s Guide to Investing in the Secondary Mortgage Market. New book coming late 2025 – The Storm: Financial Markets Meet Mother Nature.
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